New Energy On The Verge

Study: Alternative-energy firms' possibility delicate

David R. Baker, November 11, 2010 (SF Warn)

"Cellulosic ethanol, wind farms and large-scale solar power grass are on the cusp of time able to extend via fossil fuels without the need for subsidies, according to a [new] scrutinize...

"...What's Agree with for Choice Energy? "[from the Boston Consulting Kitty, a matter management consulting respected to oil companies and alternative-energy businesses] tries to prefigure the prices and means concentration of alternative-energy technologies by the rendezvous 2020, variety realistic winners and remains. Every technologies, according to the relate, are light on your feet to inflate far away earlier than completely thought, equal if the affirm doesn't foundation them via new subsidies."

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"Moreover oil prices rising again, cellulosic ethanol, made from woody grass reasonably than cuisine crops, poverty be able to extend via gasoline by 2012 or 2014. The consulting rendezvous estimates that by 2014, the form of producing cellulosic ethanol give plummet to 1.59 per gallon. Ethanol packs under energy per gallon than does gas, so the form of producing abundance ethanol to appropriate the energy in a gallon of gasoline would be 2.49...The emerge form of producing a gallon of gasoline in California is in the order of 2.34...

"Familiar solar power, the technology second hand by large-scale solar power grass in the Southern California time off, likewise has the vow for critical form cuts in the get-up-and-go formerly, according to the relate. By 2020, such grass might account electricity for under than 10 cents per kilowatt hour, making the technology competitive via standard power grass that burn natural gas. (The relate assumes that the form of electricity from natural gas grass give glide in the company of 6 cents and 9 cents per kilowatt hour.)"

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"Stimulating cars may be sold for critical inroads in areas via shrill gasoline prices and give reasonably depiction for 5 to 10 percent of new medium sales by 2020, according to the relate. But a moment ago 6 percent of the country's medium fleet is replaced in any perfect rendezvous, heart that electric vehicles give be arranged a small share of the cars on the road.

"The relate included a pessimistic prefigure for technology that captures and food the carbon dioxide from coal-fired power grass..."Carbon capture and sequestration" technology case held up in its early stages, anyhow its vow for feud large-scale warming. The technology has not been demonstrated at a large scale, and its shrill board be sold for it unattractive to businesses unless it receives critical affirm wear. Ordered below the report's utmost cheerful forecast, carbon capture and sequestration won't see predominant use beforehand 2025..."